Incarnate Word
W-L: ( 2- 4) PR = 91.9230Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 1- 1 324 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 7-16 331 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 13-11 407 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 4-16 415 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 13- 8 421 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 1- 3 428 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 10-22
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 H North Carolina A&T 1- 1 0 2 - -2.47
324 A Baylor 7-16 -9 -3 -- -5.53
331 H UTSA 13-11 2 -5 +++ 6.56
407 A Texas 4-16 -12 -8 - -3.78
415 A Texas Tech 13- 8 5 -5 +++ 9.55
421 A Texas State 1- 3 -2 -4 1.77
428 A UTSA 10-22 -12 -6 --- -6.09
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A UTSA 10-22 -12 -6 --- -6.09 324 A Baylor 7-16 -9 -3 -- -5.53 303 H North Carolina A&T 1- 1 0 2 - -2.47 407 A Texas 4-16 -12 -8 - -3.78 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 H UTSA 13-11 2 -5 +++ 6.56 415 A Texas Tech 13- 8 5 -5 +++ 9.55 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 1- 1 -9.77 8.66 -0.68 4.13 0.00
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 7-16 -5.18 13.25 0.68 4.13 -9.30
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 13-11 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 4.13 123.99
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 4-16 -0.44 17.99 0.68 4.13 -0.49
3 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 13- 8 -4.11 14.32 0.68 4.13 123.91
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 1- 3 -4.88 13.54 0.68 4.13 -8.69
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 10-22 -2.74 15.68 0.68 4.13 -4.27
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225.14
|
winning pts = 247.8991 losing points = -22.7606
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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